Overview / Systemic Risk & Resilience

Research on the cascade risks of the transition.

Independent research on the cascade and compound risks of the energy transition — how stress propagates across coupled energy, grid, finance and climate systems, and into the communities they serve. It underpins our valuation and compliance work, and it is available to institutions on mandate.

Risk, resilience — and whether the intervention proves maladaptive.

Cascade & compound risk

How stress propagates

A shock in one system — energy, grid, finance, climate — travelling into the others, and into the communities they serve.

Resilience

Absorb & recover

Whether a node can take the shock and come back — scored on the SSI resilience axis and its modifiers, before and after the asset.

Anti-maladaptation

Does the intervention create new risk?

A governance gate that checks the adaptation itself — the new asset, the new policy — doesn't open fresh systemic vulnerabilities. The W1–W10 anti-maladaptation surface.

The research engine, and its outputs.

Free · published

Strategic Briefs

Open research on cascade and compound systemic risk — the thought-leadership that grounds the platform, free to read.

On mandate

Bespoke studies

Commissioned systemic-risk analysis on your own assets, portfolios or exposures — scoped and delivered to brief.

Foundation

Peer-reviewed method

Methodology published in the academic literature (JIPR, ERE) and housed in a non-profit foundation for independence.

Cascade and compound risk — the mechanism, shown.

Four reads from the summer-2026 systemic record: how a shock travels, how independent shocks superimpose, and why a coupled reading surfaces risk a direct one misses. Every figure traces to public reporting.

Cascade timeline — nuclear deratings, EU mandate and coal-policy reversals compounding into a wholesale-price spike, summer 2026
Cascade timeline · summer 2026
A fortnight of nuclear deratings, an EU emergency mandate and coal-policy reversals compounding into a wholesale-price spike — Slovenia €710/MWh, Croatia €650, Hungary +119%. The mechanism, traced day by day. Source: SSI Index Foundation, Strategic Brief SB-02.
Compound signature — two independent shocks, a heatwave and a geopolitical oil-and-gas squeeze, superimposed on one power system
Compound signature · superposition
Two independent shocks — a record heatwave and a geopolitical oil-and-gas squeeze — landing on one power system. The compound outcome sits in the overlap: not the sum of the parts, but their superposition. Source: SB-02.
Direct reading versus coupled reading — four nodes scored twice, escalating from green or amber to red once cross-system coupling is applied
Direct reading vs coupled reading
The same four nodes, scored twice. On a direct read some look green or amber; once cross-system coupling is applied they escalate to red — the signal a single-asset view never sees. Source: SB-02.
Six-country nuclear derating — a 5.4 GW, 7.1% fleet cut stepping down across France, Spain, Hungary, Slovakia, Bulgaria and Romania, summer 2026
One stressor, six countries
A summer-2026 nuclear derating of 5.4 GW — a 7.1% fleet cut — stepping down across France, Spain, Hungary, Slovakia, Bulgaria and Romania. Source: SB-02.

The spine under the analytics.

The valuation and compliance products rest on the same systemic view: value and risk are properties of a coupled system, not a single asset. The research engine is what lets us score a node, value what it can flow, and stress-test it against cascade and compound risk — and it is the credibility behind every number we publish.

Built on exclusively curated public data, reproducible and auditable — housed in a dedicated non-profit foundation to guarantee independence.